Atlético Libertad vs Sevilla Novo Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
7.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
3 - 1
BRG
61%
19%
21%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VIS
3 - 0
ATL
68%
16%
16%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
4 - 4
PIL
48%
21%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 1
ATL
55%
20%
25%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
CAL
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla Novo Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 1
SNC
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CJA
3 - 3
SNC
67%
18%
15%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAL
2 - 0
SNC
54%
20%
26%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SNC
2 - 1
TRI
38%
22%
41%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
RIN
0 - 0
SNC
58%
20%
22%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |