Atlético Libertad vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
39.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
5 - 1
CJA
50%
21%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 4
ATL
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
5 - 3
TRI
49%
20%
31%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
RIN
0 - 2
ATL
59%
19%
23%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 4
CAS
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
MUR
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 0
PIL
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
CJA
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 2
CAL
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 0
TRI
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |