At. Leones Castilla vs Union de Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
68.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Leones Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ADU
6 - 1
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
FOM
36%
24%
41%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AGR
0 - 0
ATL
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
FTC
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
ATL
57%
21%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union de Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UAR
5 - 1
MZZ
79%
12%
9%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 3
UAR
5%
11%
85%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UAR
8 - 2
TRS
94%
4%
1%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AUP
4 - 1
UAR
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UAR
5 - 1
UCV
91%
6%
2%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |