At. Leones Castilla vs Cerceda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Leones Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CVB
1 - 2
ATL
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
VDO
11%
15%
74%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CCA
4 - 0
ATL
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FUN
1 - 2
ATL
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 0
TRS
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cerceda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CER
2 - 5
STA
29%
23%
48%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GAL
3 - 2
CER
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CER
1 - 1
FUN
33%
22%
45%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CER
4 - 3
VPB
28%
23%
49%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 0
CER
64%
18%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |