At. Leones Castilla vs Barrio Pilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
57.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Leones Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
5 - 2
ATL
62%
20%
19%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
UAR
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ADU
6 - 1
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
FOM
36%
24%
41%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AGR
0 - 0
ATL
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barrio Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BPI
1 - 2
STA
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CER
0 - 3
BPI
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BPI
2 - 2
ALC
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
EPA
2 - 8
BPI
11%
16%
74%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BPI
2 - 1
TRN
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |