Segunda Venezuela Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Atlético La Cruz vs Libertador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético La Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
ALC
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
AIF
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AIF
2 - 2
ALC
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
6 - 2
MIN
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 0
ANG
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Libertador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
ALC
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
0 - 1
BSC
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BSC
1 - 2
LIB
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 1
AIF
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MIN
0 - 2
LIB
73%
17%
9%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |