Atlético La Cruz vs Héroes de Falcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
3º
3º
10
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
2 | 2 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético La Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DRZ
0 - 1
ALC
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
AAF
1 - 0
ALC
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 0
AAF
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 0
DRZ
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HFF
0 - 1
ALC
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Héroes de Falcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HFF
2 - 0
AAF
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
HFF
3 - 2
DRZ
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DRZ
0 - 1
HFF
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 0
HFF
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HFF
0 - 1
ALC
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |