Atlético La Cruz vs Bolivar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
16º
13º
23
1º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
23 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético La Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DNE
4 - 0
ALC
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 1
ALC
36%
23%
40%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
ANG
53%
22%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 0
HFF
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DRZ
0 - 1
ALC
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BSC
0 - 0
AIF
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BSC
1 - 1
AIF
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 2
BSC
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BSC
1 - 3
DPU
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 2
BSC
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |