Atletico Juventud Inclan vs Municipal Challhuahuacho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Juventud Inclan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DCE
2 - 1
JIN
46%
24%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
JIN
1 - 1
DCE
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
JIN
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
JIN
1 - 0
RAN
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Challhuahuacho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 5
GRA
9%
17%
74%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
CHA
69%
17%
14%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
JIN
31%
21%
48%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 1
CHA
45%
22%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -2 |