Atlético Huila vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Huila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
EQU
5 - 1
HUI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
JUN
4 - 0
HUI
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
HUI
2 - 0
SFE
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
HUI
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HUI
0 - 0
TOL
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
SFE
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 3
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
ENV
67%
21%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
PAS
0 - 2
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |