Atlético Grau vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
AGP
31%
28%
40%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
AGP
3 - 1
ALI
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 1
AGP
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
AGP
2 - 2
HUA
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
AGP
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 7
CIE
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SRP
2 - 1
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 4
LOS
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
LOS
3 - 3
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
MAN
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |