Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-3
Atlético Grau vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AGP
1 - 1
VAL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 0
AGP
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
BIN
0 - 3
AGP
53%
22%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
AGP
0 - 0
LLA
46%
21%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
SCJ
0 - 0
AGP
21%
19%
60%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
LFC
0 - 1
RIV
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 0
JUV
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
JUN
2 - 2
RIV
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 0
DEF
46%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
RIV
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |