Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-1
Atlético GO vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 2
ATL
13%
18%
69%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 2
VIL
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
8 - 1
CAN
88%
9%
4%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GOI
2 - 1
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
4 - 2
SAN
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FEI
1 - 5
BAH
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 1
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MDE
0 - 0
BAH
21%
22%
56%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |