Sergipano Playoffs Final
Global 1-2
Atlético Gloriense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 0
ATG
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
ATG
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 0
SER
14%
21%
65%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
ATG
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 2
SER
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
4 - 0
AFP
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAG
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 0
AME
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |