Atlético Espeleño vs Montilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 1
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 1
REC
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 2
ESP
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 0
COR
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
JER
2 - 2
ESP
28%
25%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
BOL
37%
25%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
REC
0 - 4
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ALC
55%
23%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |