Atlético Espeleño vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
CRD
5 - 1
ESP
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 5
ALG
17%
23%
60%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CDG
0 - 0
ESP
32%
24%
45%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ESP
0 - 2
XER
16%
23%
61%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
LEB
3 - 2
ESP
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
CDL
2 - 2
CON
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BET
2 - 0
CDL
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CDL
2 - 2
CDA
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
COR
1 - 0
CDL
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CDL
0 - 4
CEU
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |