Copa RFAF Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Atlético Espeleño vs Salerm Puente Genil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
XER
3 - 1
ESP
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
CRD
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 1
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDL
2 - 1
ESP
54%
23%
24%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
5 - 2
CON
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Salerm Puente Genil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 4
BET
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 1
SEV
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CRD
1 - 0
CDA
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 0
CRD
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDG
0 - 1
CDA
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |