Atlético de Piombino vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Piombino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 0
ATP
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
ATP
0 - 0
SAL
60%
21%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 0
ATP
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
FAN
2 - 1
ATP
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
ATP
0 - 1
TRE
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 1
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
UNI
3 - 1
ASL
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 2
TRE
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 2
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
0 - 0
ASL
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |