Atlético CP vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.2%
9.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
OLI
1 - 1
ATL
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
ATL
4 - 1
BOA
73%
14%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
BEL
2 - 2
ATL
85%
9%
6%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 4
SCP
17%
18%
65%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
SLE
1 - 2
ATL
64%
18%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
VIT
3 - 2
VST
42%
23%
35%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
56%
20%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIT
46%
21%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
VIT
3 - 1
BOA
55%
20%
25%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
BEL
5 - 1
VIT
91%
6%
3%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |