Atlético CP vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
8º
7º
14
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALV
2 - 0
ATL
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
FEL
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 2
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
OLI
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 1
ATL
32%
25%
44%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEL
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
VAR
28%
28%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 1
ANA
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |