Atlético CP vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
8º
7º
23
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 2
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALV
2 - 0
ATL
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
FEL
40%
25%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
LUS
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 3
BRA
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
SPC
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |