Atlético CP vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
SLB
1 - 0
ATL
85%
10%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
ATL
0 - 1
ACA
71%
15%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
SPC
2 - 1
ATL
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
ATL
1 - 2
FCP
45%
22%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
BOA
1 - 1
ATL
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 4
SPC
41%
22%
37%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
FCP
6 - 2
ORI
88%
8%
4%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
BOA
4 - 1
ORI
68%
16%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
ORI
3 - 0
VIT
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
EST
3 - 2
ORI
76%
13%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |