Atlético CP vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 0
ATL
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 3
SCP
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
VSC
2 - 0
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
LEX
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
ATL
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 1
GFC
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
NAV
47%
28%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FEI
0 - 0
NAV
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 1
BEN
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 0
NAV
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |