Atlético CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
61.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
OLH
2 - 0
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACA
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
BEL
1 - 0
ATL
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 5
LGC
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1963 |
DUK
0 - 0
SLB
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
SLB
3 - 2
VST
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1963 |
SLB
2 - 1
DUK
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
FAB
2 - 3
SLB
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
FCP
1 - 2
SLB
53%
21%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |