Atlético CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
55.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
BOA
3 - 2
ATL
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
ATL
3 - 1
LGC
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
SPB
0 - 0
ATL
69%
17%
14%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
ATL
2 - 0
VST
56%
20%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
BEL
4 - 1
ATL
85%
10%
5%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPC
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
VIT
1 - 1
SLB
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
BOA
0 - 2
SLB
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
SLB
5 - 3
LGC
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
SPB
0 - 3
SLB
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |