Atlético CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
54%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
OLH
4 - 1
ATL
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
OLH
1 - 1
ATL
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
ATL
4 - 2
SPB
73%
14%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
SPC
2 - 1
ATL
47%
21%
31%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ATL
4 - 1
FCP
47%
22%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
SLB
1 - 3
SCP
55%
18%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
SLB
3 - 3
GIR
83%
10%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1950 |
SLB
3 - 0
LAZ
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
SPC
3 - 4
SLB
24%
19%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
SLB
3 - 2
FCP
78%
12%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |