Atlético CP vs Lusitano Évora 1911 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
4º
1º
51
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 0
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ATL
5 - 1
EDL
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
IMO
0 - 1
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 0
PRA
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VAS
4 - 1
ATL
31%
21%
47%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
ALE
8%
14%
77%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 2
ALE
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 1
EDL
67%
17%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
IMO
0 - 1
ALE
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |