Atlético CP vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALV
1 - 1
ATL
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 0
1DE
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
SCP
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 1
ATL
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
PER
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALV
1 - 1
ATL
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ALV
13 - 0
GAV
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 2
ALV
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALV
3 - 0
PER
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALV
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |