Atlético CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
OLH
3 - 5
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
ATL
0 - 1
BEL
34%
31%
36%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
SCP
6 - 1
ATL
85%
10%
4%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
ATL
0 - 0
ORI
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
FAB
2 - 2
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ACA
1 - 2
VST
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
VIT
3 - 1
ACA
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
OLH
3 - 1
ACA
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |