Atlético CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
11.8%
9.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
SLB
5 - 2
ATL
90%
6%
4%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 1
BEL
36%
23%
42%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
SPB
1 - 3
ATL
58%
19%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
ATL
10 - 4
OLH
47%
20%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
BOA
5 - 2
ATL
38%
21%
41%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 1
LUS
78%
12%
10%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
FCP
7 - 1
ACA
75%
13%
13%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 4
VST
61%
19%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
VIT
3 - 2
ACA
69%
16%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
SLB
5 - 0
ACA
88%
7%
5%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |