Atlético CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
11.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
VST
3 - 1
ATL
54%
20%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 2
VIT
79%
12%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
OLI
1 - 1
ATL
34%
24%
42%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
ATL
4 - 1
BOA
73%
14%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
BEL
2 - 2
ATL
85%
9%
6%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
SCP
6 - 1
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
ACA
3 - 5
VST
55%
20%
25%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ACA
5 - 1
SLE
40%
21%
39%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
56%
20%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
ACA
1 - 3
OLH
38%
21%
41%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |