Choloma vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MOT
0 - 0
CHO
56%
26%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
CHO
5 - 1
PLA
60%
23%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 1
CHO
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 2
RES
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DSA
2 - 1
CHO
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RES
1 - 1
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
VIC
3 - 1
RES
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RES
0 - 0
OLI
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 2
RES
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
RES
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |