Choloma vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 1
VIC
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 1
VID
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHO
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
DSA
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
RES
2 - 0
CHO
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
RES
2 - 1
DSA
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
RES
1 - 0
PLA
66%
20%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
DSA
1 - 1
RES
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RES
0 - 1
MOT
65%
21%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
RES
2 - 0
CHO
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |