Choloma vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 1
VID
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHO
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
DSA
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
RES
2 - 0
CHO
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 1
VIC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIC
2 - 2
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MOT
3 - 0
VIC
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 0
VIC
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 2
DSA
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 1
VIC
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |