Choloma vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
CHO
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 0
MOT
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
MOT
4 - 1
DSA
60%
23%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 2
MOT
34%
27%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
MOT
2 - 3
RES
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOT
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |