Atl. Chiriquí vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
SMI
2 - 1
CHI
44%
25%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
CHO
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VER
2 - 2
CHI
19%
23%
59%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SFF
4 - 0
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CHI
4 - 2
AMA
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
AMA
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
TAU
0 - 0
AFC
82%
13%
6%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 2
CHE
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 0
CHE
21%
24%
54%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SMI
7 - 0
AFC
75%
16%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |