Atletico Catarinense vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
67.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Catarinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
HER
12%
19%
69%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAC
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAC
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
BRU
8%
15%
77%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FFL
1 - 0
CAC
85%
11%
5%
|
29 | 65 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
JEC
0 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
0 - 1
BRU
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FFL
1 - 1
JEC
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
0 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
JEC
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |