Atletico Catarinense vs Caravaggio FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
36%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Catarinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BLU
2 - 2
CAC
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
CRA
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 2
MAR
13%
19%
69%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CRI
2 - 0
CAC
78%
16%
7%
|
26 | 69 | 43 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
CAC
82%
13%
5%
|
26 | 67 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 3
SCA
32%
22%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 2
CFC
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NES
1 - 0
CFC
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 0
NES
23%
20%
57%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 1
CFC
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |