Caroní FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caroní FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 1
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MON
4 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CFC
2 - 2
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAR
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
MON
42%
24%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 0
EST
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
CFC
29%
25%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
TRU
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |