A. Candeleda vs Las Navas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
34.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+174%
+1689%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CEB
2 - 4
ATL
34%
22%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
ATL
71%
16%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
5 - 0
BUR
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PIE
0 - 3
ATL
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RAM
0 - 1
ATL
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Las Navas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LAS
4 - 0
RAM
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LAS
3 - 0
NAV
81%
12%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 1
LAS
55%
19%
25%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LAS
4 - 0
BOS
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
HOY
2 - 3
LAS
58%
18%
24%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |