Atlético Cajazeirense vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cajazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
4 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARN
26%
27%
48%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
AFO
3 - 2
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAM
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 0
GUA
35%
28%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 2
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
AFO
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
AFO
3 - 2
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 1
AFO
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
AFO
3 - 2
GLO
35%
26%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |