Atlético de Madrid C vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VLP
3 - 0
ATM
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ATM
1 - 2
ALC
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAJ
4 - 2
ATM
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ATM
3 - 1
PNT
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TRJ
1 - 0
ATM
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SFN
4 - 2
NAV
33%
27%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
SFN
50%
27%
23%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SFN
1 - 3
ALC
30%
27%
43%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 3
SFN
29%
27%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SFN
0 - 1
RMC
12%
22%
66%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |