Copa Colombia 1/32
Global 6-0
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 1
CAL
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
BUC
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 0
AGU
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 1
ENV
60%
24%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
REA
3 - 4
BUC
21%
25%
53%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 0
ALI
30%
30%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SFE
3 - 0
PAT
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAT
1 - 0
JUN
24%
28%
48%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 1
PAT
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 2
PER
22%
27%
51%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |