Atlético Bucaramanga vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 3
BUC
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
BOG
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
BUC
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 0
BUC
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 0
CUC
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 1
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
TFC
53%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 0
PAT
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
CUC
0 - 0
PAT
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |