Atlético Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
BUC
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
BUC
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 2
SFC
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
BUC
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 2
UNI
37%
23%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 3
ALI
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
1 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
BOG
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |