Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 0-2
Atlético Bucaramanga vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 1
PAT
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
EQU
1 - 1
BUC
47%
29%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 3
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
EQU
2 - 0
BUC
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
JUN
2 - 0
BUC
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
EQU
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
EQU
1 - 1
BUC
47%
29%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
COR
0 - 2
EQU
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
EQU
2 - 0
BUC
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
EQU
1 - 0
JAG
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |