Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-3
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
BUC
1 - 0
BSC
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
BUC
2 - 0
QUI
42%
25%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
BUC
0 - 1
AME
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1998 |
BSC
2 - 0
BUC
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1998 |
QUI
1 - 0
BUC
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
4 - 1
BOL
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
OPE
1 - 1
BOL
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1998 |
BOL
2 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1998 |
BOL
1 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |