Superliga Final
First-leg 1-1
Atlético Bucaramanga vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
BUC
0 - 4
AME
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 1
BUC
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 0
BUC
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
BUC
2 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
BUC
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
EQU
0 - 1
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 1
BUC
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
4 - 0
ONC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
2 - 1
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |