Atlético Bucaramanga vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2017 |
BUC
1 - 0
EQU
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
JUN
3 - 1
BUC
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
BUC
2 - 1
TOL
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
REA
0 - 4
BUC
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
BUC
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 2
ALI
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAT
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 1
ALI
21%
30%
49%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 2
COR
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |