Atlético Bucaramanga vs Alianza FC analysis

Atlético Bucaramanga Alianza FC
60 ELO 68
-13.8% Tilt -8.6%
404º General ELO ranking 588º
12º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
22.8%
Atlético Bucaramanga
24.3%
Draw
52.9%
Alianza FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
Atlético Bucaramanga
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.9%
Win probability
Alianza FC
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético Bucaramanga
+5%
-15%
Alianza FC

ELO progression

Atlético Bucaramanga
Alianza FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2014
REA
Real Santander
3 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
33%
26%
41%
60 53 7 0
29 Jun. 2014
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
1 - 2
Patriotas Boyacá
PAT
34%
27%
39%
61 66 5 -1
01 Jun. 2014
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
3 - 0
Jaguares FC
JAG
32%
24%
44%
59 64 5 +2
28 May. 2014
JAG
Jaguares FC
3 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
53%
23%
24%
60 63 3 -1
21 May. 2014
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
1 - 0
Unión Magdalena
UNI
43%
26%
31%
59 59 0 +1

Matches

Alianza FC
Alianza FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2014
PAT
Patriotas Boyacá
1 - 0
Alianza FC
ALI
36%
26%
38%
70 66 4 0
20 Apr. 2014
ALI
Alianza FC
0 - 2
Envigado
ENV
42%
28%
30%
70 71 1 0
13 Apr. 2014
TOL
Deportes Tolima
1 - 2
Alianza FC
ALI
63%
21%
16%
70 80 10 0
08 Apr. 2014
ALI
Alianza FC
2 - 1
Millonarios
MIL
24%
27%
49%
69 80 11 +1
06 Apr. 2014
UNI
Uniautónoma
0 - 2
Alianza FC
ALI
39%
26%
36%
69 63 6 0